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∂MEM Professor Elliott Bloom, Dr. Karl Horn, Dr. Edward Teller,
Professor Miro Todorovich$$$May l5, 1980∞

Dear Colleagues:

Some weeks ago Chauncey Starr suggested that we contact an Alvin Alm of Harvard
and formerly of D.O.E. about a conference he organized and held at the Aspen
Institute at Wye Plantation, Maryland, entitled "Coping with U.S. Petroleum
Interruptions," and held May 9-ll.  This was done, and he is speaking at our
conference; I attended his as an auditor.  I enclose the program and list of
attendees.

Here are some disjointed remarks about the meeting. 

    l.  There was no discussion of technology.  Concentration was on international
politics, allocation schemes, whether filling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve
could be sneaked by Saudi opposition and how much to rely on market forces vs.
rationing in an emergency, whether there should be a single agency to buy
petroleum from
OPEC for OECD countries in an emergency and what taxes there should be.

    2.  No definite conclusions were reached.

    3.  Chauncey and others confirm my impression that sentiment has moved towards
free market approaches.  Those who ran allocation programs are disappointed in
the results.

    4.  Maybe there is more acceptance than formerly of production-oriented
approaches, including electricity, but the only speeches in that direction were
made by Starr and Alvin Weinberg.

    5.  Two senators and four members of the House attended.  Good contributions
were made by Senator James McClure and Congressman Clarence Brown (both
Republicans), who were the only Congressmen who stayed to the end.

    6.  I mentioned our conference to many people, and there was considerable
interest.

    7.  Meg Power, who works for Senator Javits of New York, suggested that he be
sent an invitation.

    8.  She also suggested Carlyle Hjstad, formerly of D.O.E., Michael Telsa of
the House Budget Committee, and Ari Weiss, Director of the Democratic Policy and
(illegible) Committee.  A phone conversation with her would elicit more facts
about these people.

    9.  Alvin Weinberg can't come but thinks some people at his Institute might
be interested.  He sends his greetings to Miro and others.

   10.  Office of Technology Assessment people tended to assess technology 
negatively.

   11.  The only active environmentalist sentiment was expressed by Elvis Stahr
of the Audubon Society.  He sounded moderate, but I am not certain that they would
really compromise on any issues. He doesn't know much about energy and "doubted 
that concentrating on nuclear plants was good since they are such good targets in
time of war."  Chauncey dealt with that one which was the only specific anti-
nuclear remark made.

   12.  Joseph Nye, one of the main speakers, spoke not at all about non-
proliferation, his big thing when he was in the Government.

   13.  In general, I got the impression that sentiment in the "energy policy
community" is moving in a favorable direction but not very coherently.

I hope these random remarks are helpful.
.SGNP
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Conference attendees:
 

Alvin L. Alm                           William W. Hogan
M.F. Kennedy School of Government      J. F. Kennedy School of Government
 

Peter Borre                            Barton R. House
Department of Energy                   Economic Regulatory Administration
                                       Department of Energy
Bill Bradley 
United States Senate                   Lionel S. Johns 
                                       Office of Technology Assessment
Clarence J. Brown, R., Ohio
U.S. House of Representatives          Llewellyn King
                                       The Energy Daily
William H. Corkran, Jr.
Wye Institute Fellow                   Susan P. Lewis
                                       Aspen Institute for Humanistic Studies
The Hon. John D. Dingell
U.S..House of Representatives          William Lewis
                                       Departmnt of Energy
Paul Doty
Science and International Affairs      Henry R. Linden
Harvard University                     Gas Research Institute
 

Daniel Dreydfus                        The Hon. James McClure
Committee on Energy and Natural        U.S. Senate
    Resources
U.S. Senate
                                       Joseph Nye
The Hon. Joseph L. Fisher              J.F. Kennedy School of Government
U.S. House of Representatives
                                       Dana Orwick
Robert W. Fri                          Aspen Institute for Humanistic Studies
Energy Transition Corporation 
                                       Frank M. Potter, Jr.
John H. Givvons                        Subcommittee on Energy and Power
Office of Technology Assessment        U.S. House of Representatives
 

S. William Gouse                       Meg Power, Staff Director
The Mitre Corporation                  Subcommittee on Energy, Nuclear
                                       Proliferation and Federal Service
Paul Hickman
Times-Mirror Corporation               Stephen Ratner
                                       The New York Times
Eric Reichl
Conoco Coal Development Company        Peter Roche
                                       The Wall Street Journal
Henry Rowen
Graduate School of Business            Frederick P. Salvucci
Stanford University                    Center for Transportation Studies
                                       Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Philip Sharp
U.S. House of Representatives          Elvis J. Stahr
                                       National Audubon Society
Steven Stamas
Exxon Corporation                      Chauncey Starr
                                       Electric Power Research Institute
David Sternlight                      
Atlantic Richfild Company              William Taylor
                                       Department of Energy
Alvin M. Feinberg
Institute for Energy Analysis          Eric Zausner
                                       Booz-Allen & Hamilton, Inc.
                                  

                                  AUDITORS 
                                     

William E. Colglazier, Jr.             David Deese
J. F. Kennedy School of Government     J. F. Kennedy School of Government
Harvard University                     Harvard University
 

Gina Despres                           Fred Hoffman
Legislative Assistant to               Rand Corporation 
Senator Bill Bradley
                                       Ronnie J. Straw
John McCarthy                          Communications Workers of America
Stanford University